Tuesday, 27 January 2015

With innovators from around the globe digging in, public moon travel may be only 20 years away







moon
Image Credit: hkeita/Shutterstock 



Five teams competing for the $30 million Google Lunar XPRIZE have

just been awarded a combined $5.25 million for meeting significant

milestones in developing a robot that can safely land on the surface of

the moon, travel 500 meters over the lunar surface, and send mooncasts

back to the Earth. A tiny startup from India, Team Indus, with no

experience in robotics or space flight just won $1 million of this

prize. It stood head to head with companies that had been funded by

billionaires, had received the assistance of NASA, and had the support

of leading universities.


The good news is that governments no longer have a monopoly on space

exploration. In two or three decades, we will have entrepreneurs taking

us on private spaceflights to the moon. That is what has become

possible.



What has changed since the days of the Apollo moon landings is that

the cost of building technologies has dropped exponentially. What cost

billions of dollars then costs millions now, and sometimes even less.

Our smartphones have computers that are more powerful than the Cray

supercomputers of yesteryear — which had strict export controls and cost

tens of millions of dollars. We carry high-definition cameras in our

pockets that are more powerful than those on NASA spacecraft. The

cameras in the Mars Curiosity Rover, for example, have a resolution of 2

megapixels with 8GB of flash memory, the same as our clunky

first-generation iPhones. The Apollo Guidance Computer, which took

humans to the moon in 1966, had a 2.048 MHz processor — slower than

those you find in calculators and musical greeting cards.




The same technologies as are available in the United States and Europe are available worldwide. Innovation has globalized.

I met Team Indus while I was in Mumbai to speak at INK last November.

When they told me they were competing for the Google Lunar XPRIZE. I

didn’t take them seriously because I had seen their counterpart in

Silicon Valley, Moon Express, which has the support of tech moguls such

as Naveen Jain. How could a scrawny little startup in Bangalore take on

Naveen Jain, former NASA engineer Bob Richards, and NASA itself, I

thought. The Moon Express team is a force of nature, has the advantage

of being on the NASA Ames Research campus, and has been given R&D

worth billions of dollars by NASA.




Team Indus was also up against Astrobotic, which is a spinoff from

the Carnegie Mellon University Robotics Institute, and Israel-based

SpaceIL, which has the backing of the country’s top research institutes.




The company’s win blew my mind. Even though the subject of my INK

talk was how Indian entrepreneurs could help change the world, I didn’t

think it was already happening.




(See my Jan. 1 story on the Indian tech scene and watch this talk to learn more: Why India shouldn’t be succeeding but is.)




The Bangalore-based startup was founded by former I.T. executive

Rahul Narayan and four of his friends: an Air Force pilot, a marketing

executive, an investment banker, and an aerospace engineer. None of the

team had experience in building spacecraft or robots, yet they were able

to build technology that could navigate to the moon.




Narayan says he expects completion of his space mission to cost

around $30 million. Moon Express chief executive Bob Richards estimates

$50 million. These numbers are higher than the $20 million prize that

they hope to win. But both see far greater opportunities: They hope to

be pioneers in what could be a trillion-dollar industry. Richards is

looking to mine the moon for minerals and bring them back to Earth. Each

payload could be worth billions.




The Google Lunar XPRIZE has 26 teams competing

from around the world. Collectively, they will spend in the hundreds of

millions of dollars on their efforts. For them, it is not all about

winning the contest; many of the losers will still commercialize their

space technologies or put their knowledge to use in other fields. This

is the power of such competitions. They lead entrants to spend multiples

of the offered purse on innovative solutions. And they motivate people

outside the industry, such as Narayan, to enter it with out-of-the-box

thinking.




Innovation prizes are not new. In fact, a number of celebrated

historical feats were made possible, in part, by the desire to win these

prizes. In the 1920s, New York hotel owner Raymond Orteig offered a

$25,000 prize to the first person to fly non-stop between New York and

Paris. Several unsuccessful attempts were made before an American

airmail pilot named Charles Lindbergh won the competition in 1927 with

his plane, The Spirit of St. Louis

Lindbergh’s achievement

made him a national hero and a global celebrity. And it sparked the

interest and investment that led to the modern aviation industry.




That is what I expect will come of the Lunar XPRIZE. And that is why I

am looking forward to booking my round-trip ticket to the moon one

summer in the 2030s.




Source Article from http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/AscensionEarth2012/~3/RxPdHOILLPc/with-innovators-from-around-globe.html



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